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Ribeirao vs Padroense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte game between Ribeirao and Padroense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribeirao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ribeirao
30%
Draws
47%
Padroense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padroense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ribeirao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Norte form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 20%
Padroense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribeirao Padroense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.91 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Ribeirao vs Padroense
3:0
Dec 22, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Ribeirao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribeirao 32 / 100
Padroense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribeirao Padroense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padroense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Padroense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Ribeirao scored in 52% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Ribeirao VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribeirao

(Home)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
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Padroense

(Away)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)