Sport Picks
Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Ribelle and Virtus Castelfranco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Castelfranco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Virtus Castelfranco come out ahead of Ribelle on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 22%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ribelle | Virtus Castelfranco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Ribelle
1:1
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco
0:1
Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:0
Nov 15, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Ribelle
0:2
Feb 8, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ribelle 32 / 100
Virtus Castelfranco 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ribelle Virtus Castelfranco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ribelle scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Virtus Castelfranco let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Ribelle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ribelle VS Virtus Castelfranco
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ribelle
(Home) 21 May
Adriese
3 : 1 Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1 Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3 Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
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30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3 Ravenna
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
02 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 2 Rignanese
19 Mar
Ribelle
1 : 0 Pianese
19 Feb
Ribelle
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
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Virtus Castelfranco
(Away) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
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30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
02 Apr
Colligiana
2 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
29 Mar
Imolese
1 : 0 Virtus Castelfranco
26 Feb
Poggibonsi
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
