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Riga FC 2 vs Ogre United

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Mamich D.
62' Event
Johnson K.
63'
Sub
Mashchenko V. In: Jamonts K.
Out: Mashchenko V.

AI Match Summary

Riga FC 2 in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Riga FC 2
6%
Draws
4%
Ogre United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 haven't matched Ogre United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Riga FC 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 Ogre United
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.43 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Ogre United
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Ogre United vs Riga FC 2
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Ogre United vs Riga FC 2
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Ogre United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Ogre United Compare

Top Goalscorer Marusiy T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 85 / 100
Ogre United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 Ogre United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC 2 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ogre United let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Riga FC 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS Ogre United
1.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 2.63
86% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ogre United26184466:2058
2Alberts JDFS26177260:2458
3Riga Mariners26184474:3458
4JFK Ventspils261110540:2943
5RFS 226118746:3141
6Skanste26117836:3940
7Leevon PPK261061040:4036
8Marupe261021430:3332
9Rezekne26871136:5731
10FK Smiltene26841446:4828
11Riga FC 226661435:4324
12Tukums 2000 226721737:6023
13AFA Olaine26641639:8822
14Augsdaugavas26351819:5814