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Riga FC vs Tukums 2000

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

3 - 1
FT
Tukums 2000 Logo

Tukums 2000

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Samoilovs B.
43'
Reginaldo Ramires
45' Event
Gastaldelo L.
Assist: Anmanis Kaspars
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Riga FC and Tukums 2000 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Riga FC
30%
Draws
19%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Riga FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Riga FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC Tukums 2000
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 27 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 2.51 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Tukums 2000
3:1
May 20, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
1:3
Apr 9, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Tukums 2000
3:3
Oct 24, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Tukums 2000
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oulad M'Hand S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badamosi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Tukums 2000 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gastaldelo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 95 / 100
Tukums 2000 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC scored in 92% of their last 37 games.

Tukums 2000 let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Riga FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS Tukums 2000
2.38 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
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Tukums 2000

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)