Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Skonto stadions, Riga

Riga FC

Tue, Jul 28, 2026

5 - 2

05:00 PM

Vardar

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Babunski D.

Assist: Puleio I.

19'

Najdovski F.

22'

Sub

Ferreira Pires M. A. In: Velkovski D.

Out: Ferreira Pires M. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Riga FC in this Conference League tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Riga FC

Draws

Vardar

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Riga FC have won more games recently than Vardar.
Win probability leans Riga FC's way, sitting at 90%.
Riga FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Riga FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Riga FC Clean Sheet 68%

Vardar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Riga FC	Vardar
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	23	17
Draws	4	4
Losses	3	9
Goals Scored	2.5	1.86
Goals Conceded	0.25	2.14
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Conference League

Riga FC vs Vardar

5:2

Jul 22, 2026 Conference League

Vardar vs Riga FC

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Taiwo A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aouani R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Babunski D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Omeragic A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.69

Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 95 / 100

Vardar 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Riga FC Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 8:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Riga FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Vardar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS Vardar

2.5 Goals Scored 1.86

0.25 Goals Conceded 2.14

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 57%

25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)

28 Jul

Riga FC

5 : 2

Vardar

22 Jul

Vardar

2 : 3

Riga FC

18 Jul

Riga FC

3 : 1

Tukums 2000

14 Jul

Riga FC

3 : 2

Ararat-Armenia

10 Jul

Leevon PPK

2 : 3

Riga FC

Page 1 of 6

Vardar

(Away)

28 Jul

Riga FC

5 : 2

Vardar

25 Jul

Vardar

2 : 0

Bregalnica Stip

22 Jul

Vardar

2 : 3

Riga FC

14 Jul

KuPS

2 : 3

Vardar

07 Jul

Vardar

0 : 2

KuPS

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana2

Drita3

Borac Banja Luka3

Petrocub Hincesti0

ML Vitebsk3

Sutjeska0

Flora1

TNS0

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar4

Riga FC8

Bissen2

Gyor6

Basaksehir1

Inter Turku1

Vaduz4

Atletic Escaldes0

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Zalgiris0

TBD-

Partizan4

UNA Strassen0

FK Panevezys1

Tobol1

Paks1

Panathinaikos2

Spartak Trnava0

CSKA 1948 Sofia1

Vojvodina1

Ajax4

Shelbourne5

Kalju2

FCSB2

FK Auda Riga3

Aluminij1

Dinamo Tirana1

Zimbru Chisinau1

Noah1

BATE1

Sion1

Zeleznicar Pancevo0

Braga1

Neftci Baku2

Din. Minsk4

Valur1

Zrinjski0

GAIS1

Nordsjaelland0

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv2

Ludogorets0

Zilina2

GKS Katowice1

AEK Larnaca0

Beitar Jerusalem1

FK Liepaja0

Austria Vienna2

Alashkert1

CFR Cluj1

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj2

Brann2

Dila Gori0

Apollon Limassol7

Lugano1

Dukagjini0

NSI Runavik0

Koper2

Rakow Czestochowa3

Valletta1

TBD-

HJK5

Coleraine0

Motherwell2

HB Torshavn0

Malisheva2

Hibernian0

Bravo2

Shkendija Tetovo1

IFK Goteborg1

Levadia2

LNZ Cherkasy0

Gent0

Paide Linnameeskond1

Zira FK0

FC Santa Coloma1

Rapid Vienna3

Bohemians2

FC Ballkani1

TBD-

Debrecen1

Pyunik Yerevan0

Polissya Zhytomyr3

FC Copenhagen3

Varazdin3

Jablonec2

RFS4

Vestri1

Rijeka1

Derry City0

Stjarnan1

Ilves0

TBD-

Dun. Streda1

Velez Mostar0

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

Drita-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Riga FC-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Riga FC vs Vardar

Europe

Riga FC

Vardar

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Riga FC Compare

Vardar Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

Vardar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA