Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka

Rijeka

1 - 0

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

Orec A.

52'

Fruk T.

Assist: Pavic B.

59'

Adu Adjei D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rijeka in this Conference League tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Rijeka

Draws

Derry City

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Rijeka have won more games recently than Derry City.
Win probability leans Rijeka's way, sitting at 90%.
Rijeka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Rijeka Clean Sheet 68%

Derry City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rijeka	Derry City
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	15	7
Draws	5	11
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.13	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Conference League

Rijeka vs Derry City

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Fruk T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Derry City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 95 / 100

Derry City 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rijeka Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIJ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Rijeka stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rijeka found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Derry City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Derry City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Derry City

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

0.13 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)

16 Jul

Rijeka

2 : 0

Jadran Dekani

03 Jul

Radomlje

0 : 2

Rijeka

30 Jun

Grosuplje

0 : 3

Rijeka

27 Jun

Bravo

1 : 2

Rijeka

23 May

Rijeka

2 : 0

HNK Gorica

Page 1 of 6

Derry City

(Away)

19 Jul

Derry City

3 : 0

Tolka

16 Jul

Derry City

1 : 2

CSKA Sofia

09 Jul

CSKA Sofia

3 : 2

Derry City

03 Jul

Derry City

2 : 4

Waterford

26 Jun

Derry City

2 : 0

Drogheda

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana1

Drita1

Borac Banja Luka-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar2

Riga FC3

Bissen2

Gyor6

Basaksehir1

Inter Turku1

Vaduz-

Atletic Escaldes-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Zalgiris-

TBD-

Partizan-

UNA Strassen-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava0

CSKA 1948 Sofia0

Vojvodina-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

Kalju-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

Dinamo Tirana-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

BATE-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo0

Braga1

Neftci Baku2

Din. Minsk4

Valur-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

FK Liepaja-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

Brann-

Dila Gori-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

Malisheva-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

Shkendija Tetovo-

IFK Goteborg1

Levadia2

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

FC Santa Coloma-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

FC Ballkani1

TBD-

Debrecen-

Pyunik Yerevan-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

RFS-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

Derry City-

Stjarnan-

Ilves-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

Velez Mostar-

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

TBD-

Final

TBD-