Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka

3 - 0

Vukovar 1991

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Adu Adjei D.

Assist: Devetak M.

44'

Zivkovic M.

50'

Radeljic S.

Assist: Lasickas J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rijeka in this HNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rijeka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Rijeka

Draws

Vukovar 1991

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Rijeka have won more games recently than Vukovar 1991.
90% — that's where the model lands on Rijeka taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Rijeka Clean Sheet 20%

Vukovar 1991 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rijeka	Vukovar 1991
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	7
Draws	6	8
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.63	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 HNL

Rijeka vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Mar 8, 2026 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs Rijeka

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Dec 6, 2025 HNL

Rijeka vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sep 22, 2025 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs Rijeka

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Mar 18, 2000 HNL

Rijeka vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Adu Adjei D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Radeljic S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Vukovar 1991 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 85 / 100

Vukovar 1991 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rijeka Vukovar 1991

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIJ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vukovar 1991 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rijeka stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rijeka scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Vukovar 1991

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	36	27	5	4	93:28	86
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	68
3	Varazdin	36	15	9	12	47:46	54
4	Rijeka	36	14	11	11	49:36	53
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	44
6	Istra 1961	36	12	7	17	39:50	43
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	41
8	HNK Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	41
9	Osijek	36	8	11	17	27:49	35
10	Vukovar 1991	36	6	10	20	37:73	28