Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rilski Sportist vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist in this Third League - South-West 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 9-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rilski Sportist
33%
Draws
40%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rilski Sportist lately — more wins on the board than Nadezhda Dobroslavci.
  • Model gives Nadezhda Dobroslavci a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rilski Sportist have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2022 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
9:1
Sep 17, 2022 Third League - South-West
Nadezhda Dobroslavci vs Rilski Sportist
1:4
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
4:1
Oct 9, 2021 Third League - South-West
Nadezhda Dobroslavci vs Rilski Sportist
2:0
Mar 20, 2021 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 28 / 100
Nadezhda Dobroslavci 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Nadezhda Dobroslavci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nadezhda Dobroslavci let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Rilski Sportist went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
11 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
08 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Jul
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Vihren
01 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Arda
27 May
Gotse Delchev
1 : 2
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

Nadezhda Dobroslavci

(Away)
03 Jun
Septemvri Sofia 2
3 : 0
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
27 May
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
0 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
20 May
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 3
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
17 May
Gotse Delchev
0 : 1
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
13 May
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
1 : 0
Levski Rakovski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marek20153256:1548
2Chavdar Etropole20142443:1944
3Balkan Botevgrad20131643:2840
4Bansko20104631:2134
5Slivnishki Geroy2095627:3132
6Slavia Sofia 22092940:4129
7CSKA 1948 Sofia III2065927:3223
8Septemvri Sofia 22065928:3123
9Botev Ihtiman20501524:4115
10Levski Rakovski20431319:4715
11Gotse Delchev20401622:5412
Promotion - Third League - South-West 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vihren20135240:2044
2Kostinbrod20142431:1544
3Kyustendil20127141:1243
4CSKA Sofia II2085737:2029
5Septemvri Simitli2077628:2428
6Rilski Sportist2076733:2927
7Oborishte Panagyurishte2083920:3027
8Levski Sofia II2075829:2726
9Pirin Razlog20441220:3816
10Granit Vladaya20351214:3914
11Nadezhda Dobroslavci20051516:555
Promotion - Third League - South-West 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)