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Rincon vs Atletico Melilla

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Fatty L.
41' Event
Fatty L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Rincon and Atletico Melilla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rincon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rincon
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rincon come out ahead of Atletico Melilla on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rincon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon Atletico Melilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 0
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 0.87 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.57 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Atletico Melilla
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico Melilla vs Rincon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fatty L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.93
Avg xA / game 1.91

Atletico Melilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 95 / 100
Atletico Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon Atletico Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Melilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Atletico Melilla has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rincon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rincon VS Atletico Melilla
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 6.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Melilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Palma del Rio
5 : 0
Atletico Melilla
27 Sept
Atletico Melilla
0 : 5
Atletico Palma del Rio
12 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
10 : 0
Atletico Melilla
04 May
Atletico Melilla
2 : 4
CP Almeria
01 May
Almeria B
14 : 1
Atletico Melilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)