Sport Picks

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Rio Branco ES vs Sport-ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Branco ES play Sport-ES in the Campeonato Capixaba 2016. Rio Branco ES are favorites here. Recently, Rio Branco ES averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Sport-ES averaged 0.94 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, Rio Branco ES won 4, Sport-ES won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Rio Branco ES and 1.00 for Sport-ES. This points to a Rio Branco ES double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rio Branco ES
25%
Draws
15%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES picked up more points recently compared to Sport-ES.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 23%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES Sport-ES
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Rio Branco ES
1:0
Jun 3, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco ES vs Sport-ES
3:1
Jun 1, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Rio Branco ES
0:2
Mar 9, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Rio Branco ES
0:1
Feb 17, 2016 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Sport-ES
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 59 / 100
Sport-ES 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES Sport-ES

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rio Branco ES & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rio Branco ES attacking → ← attacking Sport-ES

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Branco ES scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Sport-ES let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rio Branco ES went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sport-ES lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 29
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.33
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Branco ES852110:517
2Real Noroeste84317:415
3Linhares Futebol Clube84047:812
4SAO Mateus82155:87
5Sport-ES81255:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desportiva Ferroviaria853010:318
2Galatas83326:212
3CA Itapemirim82425:410
4Estrela do Norte82244:78
5Doze Futebol Clube81251:105