Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Olímpio Perim, Venda Nova do Imigrante
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Kainandro
28'
Alberto
32'
Kelvin

AI Match Summary

Vilavelhense in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilavelhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rio Branco-VN
30%
Draws
27%
Vilavelhense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vilavelhense have won more games recently than Rio Branco-VN.
  • Win probability leans Rio Branco-VN's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 68%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco-VN Vilavelhense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
2:0
Feb 3, 2026 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
0:1
May 9, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
1:1
Jan 30, 2022 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vilavelhense Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco-VN 68 / 100
Vilavelhense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco-VN Vilavelhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco-VN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Rio Branco-VN stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vilavelhense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Rio Branco-VN found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco-VN VS Vilavelhense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco-VN

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6

Vilavelhense

(Away)
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Serra 9 4 2 3 10:6 14
3 Vilavelhense 9 4 1 4 8:10 13
4 Rio Branco ES 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
5 Porto Vitoria 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
7 Real Noroeste 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
8 Forte 9 2 5 2 5:4 11
9 Capixaba SC 9 3 1 5 6:13 10
10 Rio Branco-VN 9 0 5 4 8:15 5
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)