Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Walters S.
42'
42'
Furness A.
42'
42'
Furness A.
AI Match Summary
Trefelin in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Risca United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Risca United haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Risca United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Trefelin have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Risca United Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Risca United | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 2.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2022 Cymru South
Risca United vs Trefelin
0:2
Aug 21, 2021 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Risca United
4:0
Aug 7, 2021 League Cup
Trefelin vs Risca United
2:0
Apr 28, 2020 Division 1
Trefelin vs Risca United
0:0
Mar 7, 2020 Division 1
Risca United vs Trefelin
2:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Risca United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Walters S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.32
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Risca United 40 / 100
Trefelin 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Risca United Trefelin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Risca United scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Trefelin lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Trefelin let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Trefelin
0 Goals Scored 4
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Risca United
(Home) 21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1 Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5 Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1 Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3 Risca United
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5 Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
15 Apr
Risca United
1 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
09 Apr
Risca United
1 : 1 Carmarthen Town
25 Mar
Risca United
0 : 1 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
Trefelin
(Away) 18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0 Trefelin
31 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0 Trefelin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:31 | 74 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 79:30 | 69 |
| 3 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 76:36 | 56 |
| 4 | Cambrian United | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 73:42 | 51 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 52:25 | 51 |
| 6 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Taffs Well | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 57:47 | 49 |
| 8 | Pure Swansea | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 44:43 | 40 |
| 9 | Llanelli | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:54 | 40 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 45:67 | 39 |
| 11 | Trefelin | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 58:51 | 37 |
| 12 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 58:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 43:74 | 34 |
| 14 | Risca United | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 43:51 | 31 |
| 15 | Undy | 30 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 41:84 | 17 |
| 16 | Port Talbot | 30 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 8:121 | 0 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)
