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RKC SC vs Edgewater Castle

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between RKC SC and Edgewater Castle finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RKC SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
RKC SC
15%
Draws
0%
Edgewater Castle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RKC SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • RKC SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans RKC SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
RKC SC Clean Sheet 20%
Edgewater Castle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RKC SC Edgewater Castle
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 14 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 USL League Two
RKC SC vs Edgewater Castle
4:0
May 23, 2026 USL League Two
Edgewater Castle vs RKC SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RKC SC 85 / 100
Edgewater Castle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RKC SC Edgewater Castle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RKC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RKC SC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Edgewater Castle has conceded goals in 100% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Edgewater Castle's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

RKC SC VS Edgewater Castle
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

RKC SC

(Home)
12 Jul
RKC SC
5 : 1
River Light
09 Jul
RKC SC
4 : 2
Chicago Dutch Lions
02 Jul
Sueno
5 : 1
RKC SC
25 Jun
Minneapolis City
3 : 1
RKC SC
21 Jun
Chicago Dutch Lions
2 : 0
RKC SC
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Edgewater Castle

(Away)
12 Jul
Edgewater Castle
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
27 Jun
Edgewater Castle
0 : 5
Chicago Dutch Lions
25 Jun
Rockford Raptors
3 : 2
Edgewater Castle
20 Jun
Minneapolis City
3 : 1
Edgewater Castle
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