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RKS Lech Rypin vs Calisia Kalisz

Poland Poland

Division 2 - West 2012/2013
Sat, Apr 27, 2013
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RKS Lech Rypin play Calisia Kalisz in the Division 2 - West 2012/2013. Calisia Kalisz are favorites here. Recently, RKS Lech Rypin averaged 0.43 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Calisia Kalisz averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, RKS Lech Rypin won 2, Calisia Kalisz won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 17, 2013 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for RKS Lech Rypin and 2.27 for Calisia Kalisz. This points to a Calisia Kalisz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
RKS Lech Rypin
15%
Draws
59%
Calisia Kalisz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calisia Kalisz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • RKS Lech Rypin picked up more points recently compared to Calisia Kalisz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 2.27 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
RKS Lech Rypin Clean Sheet 10%
Calisia Kalisz Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RKS Lech Rypin Calisia Kalisz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 9
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2013 Polish Cup
Calisia Kalisz vs RKS Lech Rypin
0:3
Apr 27, 2013 Division 2 - West
RKS Lech Rypin vs Calisia Kalisz
0:3
Sep 22, 2012 Division 2 - West
Calisia Kalisz vs RKS Lech Rypin
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RKS Lech Rypin 25 / 100
Calisia Kalisz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RKS Lech Rypin Calisia Kalisz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calisia Kalisz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Calisia Kalisz & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RKS Lech Rypin attacking → ← attacking Calisia Kalisz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RKS Lech Rypin scored in 22% of their last 27 games.

Calisia Kalisz let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

RKS Lech Rypin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Calisia Kalisz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 39
0.33 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ROW Rybnik34226666:3272
2Chojniczanka34225758:2771
3Bytovia Bytow34189750:3363
4Polkowice34178960:4159
5Zaglebie Sosnowiec34178954:2859
6Kluczbork34169951:2857
7Rozwoj Katowice341391245:3948
8Chrobry Glogow341391238:3948
9Calisia Kalisz341351634:4344
10Jarocin3411111236:3544
11Gryf Wejherowo3411111239:4444
12Rakow Czestochowa341271543:4443
13Turek341261632:4242
14Gornik Walbrzych341261634:4342
15Ruch Zdzieszowice348101638:5534
16Olawa34791835:5330
17Elana Torun343102112:5219
18RKS Lech Rypin34922324:7129