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Robina City vs Logan Lightning

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Robina Common, Gold Coast
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Koloski J.

AI Match Summary

Robina City in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Robina City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Robina City
20%
Draws
40%
Logan Lightning
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Logan Lightning have won more games recently than Robina City.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Robina City taking it.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Robina City Clean Sheet 20%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Robina City Logan Lightning
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs Logan Lightning
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Robina City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer Koloski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Logan Lightning Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Robina City 36 / 100
Logan Lightning 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Robina City Logan Lightning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logan Lightning has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Robina City's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Robina City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Robina City VS Logan Lightning
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Robina City

(Home)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3
Robina City
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
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Logan Lightning

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
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