Sport Picks
Roccella vs Castrovillari Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 
Match Events
35'
35'
Puntoriere M.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Samake B.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between Roccella and Castrovillari finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Castrovillari carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Castrovillari a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Roccella Clean Sheet 20%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Roccella | Castrovillari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 42 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 16 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.98 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Castrovillari
1:1
Apr 7, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Roccella
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Roccella
0:2
Oct 27, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Castrovillari
1:1
Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Castrovillari
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Roccella Compare
Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Castrovillari Compare
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Roccella 28 / 100
Castrovillari 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Roccella Castrovillari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castrovillari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Castrovillari conceded in 79% of 42 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Castrovillari has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Roccella found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Castrovillari
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Roccella
(Home) 03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1 Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1 Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0 Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1 Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1 Castrovillari
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1 Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1 AS Acireale
25 Apr
Roccella
0 : 3 FC Messina
18 Apr
Roccella
2 : 2 S. Agata
Page 1 of 3
Castrovillari
(Away) 05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1 Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1 Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1 San Luca
Page 1 of 9
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1 Castrovillari
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1 Castrovillari
17 Mar
Reggina
3 : 1 Castrovillari
03 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0 Castrovillari
18 Feb
Canicatti
4 : 2 Castrovillari
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACR Messina | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 66:25 | 74 |
| 2 | FC Messina | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 59:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Gelbison | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 54:32 | 66 |
| 4 | San Luca | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 46:38 | 58 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Dattilo | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 51:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Rotonda | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 31:33 | 49 |
| 8 | Santa Maria Cilento | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:29 | 45 |
| 9 | Biancavilla | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 43:47 | 45 |
| 10 | Licata | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Castrovillari | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 39:37 | 41 |
| 12 | Paterno | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 28:35 | 39 |
| 13 | Cittanovese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:51 | 39 |
| 14 | S. Agata | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:48 | 36 |
| 15 | Troina | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:47 | 36 |
| 16 | Rende | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 38:58 | 34 |
| 17 | Marina di Ragusa | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:58 | 33 |
| 18 | Roccella | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
