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Roccella vs FC Messina Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lodi F.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Arena A.
65'
De Carlo A.

AI Match Summary

FC Messina in this Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Messina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Roccella
15%
Draws
0%
FC Messina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roccella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • FC Messina average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Roccella's 0.77.
  • Model gives FC Messina a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Roccella Clean Sheet 22%
FC Messina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella FC Messina
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.77 2
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2021 Serie D - Group I
FC Messina vs Roccella
7:1
Apr 25, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs FC Messina
0:3
May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs FC Messina
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group I
FC Messina vs Roccella
1:0
Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group I
FC Messina vs Roccella
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roccella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

FC Messina Compare

Top Goalscorer Arena A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bevis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 10 / 100
FC Messina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella FC Messina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Messina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Messina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

Away concern: FC Messina has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Roccella found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Messina
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

FC Messina

(Away)
08 Dec
Cavese
3 : 0
FC Messina
05 Dec
FC Messina
0 : 3
Troina
28 Nov
Paterno
8 : 1
FC Messina
24 Nov
Trapani
2 : 0
FC Messina
21 Nov
FC Messina
0 : 1
Santa Maria Cilento
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)