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Rocha vs Rentistas

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Guichon L.
57'
59' Event
Acevedo L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Rentistas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rocha
15%
Draws
53%
Rentistas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Rentistas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rentistas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Rentistas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rentistas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rentistas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Rocha Clean Sheet 22%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rocha Rentistas
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 9 15
Draws 3 11
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2022 Copa Uruguay
Rocha vs Rentistas
0:3
Jun 1, 2013 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Rocha
3:0
Mar 2, 2013 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Rentistas
1:3
Apr 9, 2011 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Rocha
4:0
Dec 11, 2010 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Rentistas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rocha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Rentistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Acevedo L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guichon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rocha 24 / 100
Rentistas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rocha Rentistas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rentistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rocha scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Rentistas let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Rocha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rentistas
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rocha

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
Page 1 of 7

Rentistas

(Away)
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
30 Aug
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 0
Rentistas
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lavalleja (Minas) 1
Atenas 2
Mar De Fondo 4
Huracan FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerrito -
Club Atletico Basanez 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC 4
Palermo de Rocha 3
Piriapolis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Rocha 2
Paso de la Arena 0
Lavalleja de Rocha 1
Huracan Buceo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rentistas -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Canadian Soccer Club 0
Racing Montevideo 1
Salto FC 0
Huracan Paysandu 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Juventud Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Tacuarembo 1
Central Esp. 3
Wanderers Juvenil 1
Club Atletico Artigas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Universitario Salto -
Sud America -
Paysandu FC 1
Paysandu Bella Vista 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wanderers -
Durazno 3
CA Cerro 2
Porongos 0
Boquita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
Quilmes -
Villa Espanola -
Deportivo Colonia 3
Santa Emilia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Laureles 0
Colon 2
Los Halcones 1
Sportivo Barracas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penarol -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Bella Vista 0
Rampla Juniors 1
Rio Negro 3
Wanderers Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
CA Alto Peru 0
Juventud 4
Parque Del Plata 1
Universal San Jose 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion -
Potencia 0
La Luz 7
Atletico Juanico 1
Deportivo Italiano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
1/32-finals
Atenas 0
Mar De Fondo 1
TBD -
Cerrito -
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
Palermo de Rocha 1
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Rocha 2
Huracan Buceo 1
TBD -
Rentistas -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Racing Montevideo 1
Huracan Paysandu 0
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Juventud Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. 2
Club Atletico Artigas 1
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Universitario Salto 1
Paysandu FC 0
TBD -
Wanderers -
Durazno 2
Boquita 1
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
Quilmes 1
Deportivo Colonia 2
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Colon 3
Los Halcones 1
TBD -
Penarol -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Rampla Juniors 2
Rio Negro 1
TBD -
Maldonado -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Juventud 1
Universal San Jose 0
TBD -
Albion -
La Luz 2
Deportivo Italiano 1
TBD -
Fenix -
1/16-finals
Mar De Fondo 0
Cerrito 1
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
Montevideo City 4
Rocha 0
Rentistas 3
Progreso 3
Danubio 2
Racing Montevideo 0
Defensor Sp. 1
Juventud Colonia 1
River Plate Montevideo 2
Central Esp. 1
Liverpool M. 2
Universitario Salto 1
Wanderers 3
Durazno 1
Plaza Colonia 3
Deportivo Colonia 0
Cerro Largo 2
Colon 0
Penarol 2
Central San Jose 0
Boston River 2
Rampla Juniors 2
Maldonado 1
Miramar 0
Club Nacional 1
Juventud 0
Albion 1
La Luz 2
Fenix 1
1/8-finals
Cerrito 0
Montevideo City 1
Rentistas 0
Progreso 3
Defensor Sp. 2
River Plate Montevideo 0
Liverpool M. 4
Wanderers 0
Plaza Colonia 1
Cerro Largo 0
Penarol 1
Boston River 0
Rampla Juniors 3
Club Nacional 0
Albion 2
La Luz 3
Quarter-finals
Montevideo City 1
Progreso 2
Defensor Sp. 3
Liverpool M. 0
Plaza Colonia 0
Penarol 1
Rampla Juniors 2
La Luz 3
Semi-finals
Progreso 2
Defensor Sp. 4
Penarol 1
La Luz 2
Final
Defensor Sp. 1
La Luz 0