Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rochdale vs Everton U21

England England

National League Cup Spotland Stadium, Rochdale
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Barlow A. In: Henderson I.
Out: Barlow A.
46'
Sub
Pettit C. In: McBride C.
Out: Pettit C.
46'
Sub
Rodney D. In: Pritchard J.
Out: Rodney D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rochdale
20%
Draws
51%
Everton U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / High Confidence
  • Rochdale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Everton U21 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Rochdale have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%
Everton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochdale Everton U21
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.75 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Rochdale vs Everton U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochdale Compare

Top Goalscorer Burger J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Everton U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.57
Avg xA / game 1.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochdale 22 / 100
Everton U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochdale Everton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rochdale scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Everton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Rochdale stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rochdale VS Everton U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochdale

(Home)
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3
Rochdale
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3
Halifax
25 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 2
Farnham
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3
Al Rayyan
14 Jul
United of Manchester
2 : 0
Rochdale
Page 1 of 7

Everton U21

(Away)
21 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Everton U21
11 May
Huddersfield U21
3 : 1
Everton U21
01 May
Everton U21
4 : 2
Brentford U21
24 Apr
Everton U21
3 : 2
Watford U21
17 Apr
Everton U21
8 : 4
Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)