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Rochester FC vs St. Croix

USA USA

USL League Two
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
0 - 2
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rochester FC play St. Croix in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rochester FC averaged 1 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. St. Croix averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Rochester FC won 4, St. Croix won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Rochester FC and 2.13 for St. Croix. This points to a Rochester FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rochester FC
6%
Draws
90%
St. Croix
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Croix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rochester FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St. Croix.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for St. Croix.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League Two provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester FC St. Croix
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
3:0
Jul 11, 2025 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs St. Croix
5:0
Jun 13, 2025 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
2:3
Jun 27, 2024 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
1:3
May 19, 2024 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs St. Croix
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester FC 10 / 100
St. Croix 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester FC St. Croix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochester FC scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

St. Croix let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rochester FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

St. Croix lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochester FC VS St. Croix
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%