Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rochester New York vs Toronto FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2022
Thu, Jun 2, 2022
2 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Rayo G.
25'
Antonoglou T.
37'
Karajovanovic S.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2022 game between Rochester New York and Toronto FC II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochester New York.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rochester New York
33%
Draws
27%
Toronto FC II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rochester New York

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Toronto FC II haven't matched Rochester New York's recent run of results.
  • Rochester New York are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rochester New York here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rochester New York Clean Sheet 17%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester New York Toronto FC II
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Rochester New York
0:1
Aug 12, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs Toronto FC II
1:2
Jun 2, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs Toronto FC II
2:1
Sep 2, 2017 USL Championship
Toronto FC II vs Rochester New York
0:1
Jul 26, 2017 USL Championship
Rochester New York vs Toronto FC II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochester New York Compare

Top Goalscorer Batiz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonoglou T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester New York 39 / 100
Toronto FC II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester New York Toronto FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochester New York found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Toronto FC II has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Toronto FC II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Toronto FC II
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochester New York

(Home)
05 Apr
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Rochester New York
24 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 1
Rochester New York
18 Sept
Rochester New York
2 : 3
New York City II
11 Sept
Toronto FC II
0 : 1
Rochester New York
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
Rochester New York
Page 1 of 7

Toronto FC II

(Away)
25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1
Toronto FC II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toronto FC II241401044:3841
2Rochester New York241401037:3040
3Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
4New York City II241301149:3537
5New England Revolution II241001427:4233
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Inter Miami II241101340:4936
3Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
4Orlando City B24801640:5325
5FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
4Real Monarchs24701728:5023
5Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 224160851:3449
2Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
3North Texas24150948:3146
4Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
5Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
6Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Toronto FC II241401044:3841
3Rochester New York241401037:3040
4Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
5New York City II241301149:3537
6Inter Miami II241101340:4936
7New England Revolution II241001427:4233
8Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
9Orlando City B24801640:5325
10FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2St. Louis City 224160851:3449
3Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
4North Texas24150948:3146
5San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
6Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
8Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
9Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
10Real Monarchs24701728:5023
11Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)