Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roda vs FC Emmen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Geypens T.
17' Event
Jansen K.
Assist: Muller J. P.
45' Event
Nisbet J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Roda and FC Emmen finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Roda
30%
Draws
28%
FC Emmen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roda come out ahead of FC Emmen on wins alone.
  • Roda are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Roda Clean Sheet 12%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda FC Emmen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs FC Emmen
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs FC Emmen
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nisbet J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Postema R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 65 / 100
FC Emmen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda FC Emmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Emmen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Roda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Roda scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS FC Emmen
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
21 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 1
Roda
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FC Emmen

(Away)
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0
FC Emmen
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)