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Rodez AF W vs Lille W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Haugou P.
17' Event
Gay V.
55' Event
Hlushchenko I.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Rodez AF W and Lille W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lille W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Rodez AF W
35%
Draws
46%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lille W come out ahead of Rodez AF W on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Lille W taking it.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 15%
Lille W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Lille W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Lille W
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Rodez AF W
1:2
May 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Rodez AF W
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Lille W
0:1
Dec 8, 2018 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs Rodez AF W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez AF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gay V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugou P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hlushchenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 23 / 100
Lille W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lille W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rodez AF W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Rodez AF W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Lille W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
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Lille W

(Away)
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)