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Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Grocq F.
32' Event
Solanet T.
54' Event
Lapassouse L.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Rodez AF W and Toulouse W finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rodez AF W
44%
Draws
20%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Toulouse W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Toulouse W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 10%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Toulouse W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W
4:4
Dec 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez AF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaysse S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grocq F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Solanet T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lapassouse L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 34 / 100
Toulouse W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Toulouse W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Rodez AF W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rodez AF W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Toulouse W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
05 Apr
Guingamp W
1 : 2
Rodez AF W
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Toulouse W

(Away)
24 May
Toulouse W
0 : 2
Le Mans W
17 May
Grenoble W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
03 May
Toulouse W
3 : 2
Lille W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
05 Apr
Toulouse W
2 : 0
Thonon Evian W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toulouse W22154348:2149
2Saint-Malo W22124634:2840
3Le Mans W22123728:2039
4Auxerre W22105731:2535
5Grenoble W2297631:2434
6Lille W2295831:2532
7Thonon Evian W2294935:2931
8Nice W2285928:3129
9Reims W2276926:3327
10Metz W22641231:4222
11Rodez AF W22641216:3222
12Guingamp W22231717:469
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)