Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodez vs Troyes

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Adeline M.
10'
Adeline M.
41'
Jean-Lambert E.

AI Match Summary

Rodez in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rodez
28%
Draws
50%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Troyes have won more games recently than Rodez.
  • Model gives Troyes a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rodez here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Rodez Clean Sheet 15%
Troyes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Troyes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 19
Draws 10 3
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Troyes
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Rodez
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Troyes
2:1
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Rodez
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Rodez
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Saka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arconte T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeline M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 23 / 100
Troyes 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rodez scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Rodez remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Troyes let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Troyes
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
22 Jul
Rodez
2 : 1
Nimes
17 Jul
Rodez
4 : 1
Cannes
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
15 May
St Etienne
1 : 0
Rodez
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Troyes

(Away)
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0
Red Star
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3
Troyes
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0
Troyes
02 May
Troyes
4 : 0
Laval
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)