Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Ilyin S.
14'
Krotov S.
17'
Svintsov D.

AI Match Summary

Kaluga in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaluga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rodina Moscow 2
33%
Draws
40%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 2 average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Kaluga's 1.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kaluga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 2 Kaluga
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:0
May 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alekhin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Daliev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuzin N. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 2 28 / 100
Kaluga 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 2 Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rodina Moscow 2 scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Kaluga has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 2 VS Kaluga
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110