Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kvekveskiri D. In: Nosov A.
Out: Kvekveskiri D.
53'
Sub
Pokotylo D. In: Yakovlev D.
Out: Pokotylo D.
53'
Sub
Eliseev A. In: Zotov G.
Out: Eliseev A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 game between Rodina Moscow 2 and Sibir Novosibirsk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rodina Moscow 2
20%
Draws
38%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rodina Moscow 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 2 Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:0
Apr 24, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Knyazev G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikitin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 2 41 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 2 Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 2 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sibir Novosibirsk conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 2 VS Sibir Novosibirsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 2

(Home)
25 Jul
Rodina Moscow 2
0 : 0
Dynamo Vladivostok
19 Jul
Rodina Moscow 2
2 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
13 Jun
Torpedo Miass
0 : 3
Rodina Moscow 2
07 Jun
Rodina Moscow 2
0 : 2
Tekstilshtik
31 May
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow 2
Page 1 of 6

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
26 Jul
Kaluga
0 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
19 Jul
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 2
Sibir Novosibirsk
21 Jun
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 1
Veles Moscow
17 Jun
Veles Moscow
4 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
13 Jun
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)