Sport Picks
Rodina Moscow vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sokolov A.
17'
17'
Egorychev A.
24'
24'
Timoshenko I.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2025/2026 game between Rodina Moscow and FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Rodina Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye haven't matched Rodina Moscow's recent run of results.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow taking it.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodina Moscow | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2026 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5:2
Oct 4, 2025 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Rodina Moscow
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Rodina Moscow
2:2
Feb 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Rodina Moscow vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rodina Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Egorychev A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Timoshenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare
Top Goalscorer Sokolov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Biblik S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodina Moscow 86 / 100
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodina Moscow FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ROD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Rodina Moscow found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Rodina Moscow VS FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
2 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodina Moscow
(Home) 25 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 Rodina Moscow
02 Jul
Rodina Moscow
0 : 5 Akron Togliatti
27 Jun
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 0 Rodina Moscow
16 May
Arsenal Tula
1 : 4 Rodina Moscow
08 May
Rodina Moscow
2 : 0 Chelyabinsk
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02 Jul
Rodina Moscow
0 : 5 Akron Togliatti
08 May
Rodina Moscow
2 : 0 Chelyabinsk
26 Apr
Rodina Moscow
1 : 0 Ufa
18 Apr
Rodina Moscow
0 : 0 Ulyanovsk
29 Mar
Rodina Moscow
3 : 1 Ural
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FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
(Away) 16 May
R. Volgograd
5 : 0 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
03 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
26 Apr
Kamaz
2 : 1 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
22 Apr
Ulyanovsk
2 : 1 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
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16 May
R. Volgograd
5 : 0 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
26 Apr
Kamaz
2 : 1 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
22 Apr
Ulyanovsk
2 : 1 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
05 Apr
Ural
5 : 0 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
23 Mar
Rodina Moscow
5 : 2 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
