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Rodopa Smolyan vs Dimitrovgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026 Stadion Septemvri, Smolyan
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Rodopa Smolyan and Dimitrovgrad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodopa Smolyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rodopa Smolyan
20%
Draws
44%
Dimitrovgrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rodopa Smolyan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 14%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodopa Smolyan Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Dimitrovgrad
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rodopa Smolyan
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Dimitrovgrad
0:0
Sep 4, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rodopa Smolyan
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodopa Smolyan 31 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodopa Smolyan Dimitrovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dimitrovgrad has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Rodopa Smolyan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Rodopa Smolyan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodopa Smolyan VS Dimitrovgrad
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodopa Smolyan

(Home)
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0
OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Zagorets
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Dimitrovgrad

(Away)
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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