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Rokita Brzeg Dolny vs Gornik Walbrzych

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2015/2016
Thu, May 26, 2016
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rokita Brzeg Dolny host Gornik Walbrzych in the III Liga - Group III 2015/2016. Gornik Walbrzych are expected to control this from the start. Rokita Brzeg Dolny have averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Gornik Walbrzych's 1 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Rokita Brzeg Dolny have won 0 to Gornik Walbrzych's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 26, 2016, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Gornik Walbrzych. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
33%
Draws
40%
Gornik Walbrzych
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gornik Walbrzych

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gornik Walbrzych carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gornik Walbrzych a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Rokita Brzeg Dolny Clean Sheet 20%
Gornik Walbrzych Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rokita Brzeg Dolny Gornik Walbrzych
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 2 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2016 III Liga - Group III
Rokita Brzeg Dolny vs Gornik Walbrzych
0:3
Oct 31, 2015 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Walbrzych vs Rokita Brzeg Dolny
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rokita Brzeg Dolny 28 / 100
Gornik Walbrzych 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rokita Brzeg Dolny Gornik Walbrzych

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Walbrzych has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rokita Brzeg Dolny scored in 31% of their last 29 outings.

Rokita Brzeg Dolny went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rokita Brzeg Dolny VS Gornik Walbrzych
3 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rokita Brzeg Dolny

(Home)
25 Jul
Polonia Sroda Slaska
1 : 3
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
05 Jun
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
0 : 3
Piast Zmigrod
29 May
Stilon Gorzow
3 : 0
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
26 May
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
0 : 3
Gornik Walbrzych
21 May
Katy Wroclawskie
3 : 0
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
Page 1 of 6

Gornik Walbrzych

(Away)
18 Jul
Bielawianka Bielawa
5 : 1
Gornik Walbrzych
23 Jul
Polonia Sroda Slaska
0 : 0
Gornik Walbrzych
08 Feb
Lechia Dzierzoniow
1 : 1
Gornik Walbrzych
01 Feb
Gornik Walbrzych
1 : 1
Piast Nowa Ruda
25 Jan
Nachod
3 : 1
Gornik Walbrzych
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polkowice34253688:3978
2Gornik Walbrzych34253674:2578
3Sleza Wroclaw34198771:3565
4Legnica II34197886:4364
5Lechia Dzierzoniow342031154:4063
6Slask Wroclaw II34196974:4263
7Piast Zmigrod341831360:4657
8Formacja Port 2000 Mostki341821471:5056
9Stilon Gorzow341671155:3855
10Zaglebie II341661278:3954
11LKS Blyskawica Gac341391251:4548
12Ilanka Rzepin341341753:7543
13Polonia Swidnica341261647:5342
14Piast Karnin34891736:6133
15Karkonosze Jelenia Gora34862041:7430
16Budowlani Lubsko34532632:10918
17Katy Wroclawskie34282420:10114
18Rokita Brzeg Dolny34152816:928
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)