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World

World Championship 2026 Arena Nationala

Cyprus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Romania play Cyprus in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Romania averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Cyprus averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Romania won 4, Cyprus won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 9, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Romania and 1.31 for Cyprus. This points to a Romania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Romania

19%

Draws

26%

Cyprus

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Romania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Romania picked up more points recently compared to Cyprus.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Romania Clean Sheet 18%

Cyprus Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Romania	Cyprus
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	15	8
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	15
Goals Scored	1.73	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Cyprus vs Romania

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

Romania vs Cyprus

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Nov 18, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Romania vs Cyprus

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Oct 12, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Cyprus vs Romania

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

0:3

Feb 9, 2011 Friendly International

Cyprus vs Romania

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romania Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanase F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Man D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Cyprus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romania 53 / 100

Cyprus 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Romania Cyprus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romania Win (1)

Secondary Pick Romania & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Romania attacking → ← attacking Cyprus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Romania scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cyprus let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Romania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cyprus lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 29

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0