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Rosariense vs Academica do Fogo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rosariense
22%
Draws
60%
Academica do Fogo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Academica do Fogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rosariense lately — more wins on the board than Academica do Fogo.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Academica do Fogo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 19%
Academica do Fogo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosariense Academica do Fogo
Matches Played 18 24
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Fogo vs Rosariense
3:1
May 12, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academica do Fogo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosariense 20 / 100
Academica do Fogo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosariense Academica do Fogo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosariense's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Academica do Fogo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Rosariense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rosariense VS Academica do Fogo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico do Sal63129:810
2Academica do Fogo622211:68
3Rosariense62225:78
4Juventude61328:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira633013:512
2Morabeza62317:79
3Barreirense62228:88
4GD Varandinha60247:152
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia651012:216
2FC Derby63217:411
3Ultramarina61145:134
4Sanjoanenses60243:82