Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosenborg vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nordli S.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Chiakha A.
Assist: Selnaes O.
30'
Ibrahimaj Y.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Rosenborg and Lillestrom finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rosenborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Rosenborg
17%
Draws
13%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lillestrom carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rosenborg a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 18%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Lillestrom
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg
1:1
Aug 21, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom
4:0
Sep 24, 2023 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg
3:0
Jul 9, 2023 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiakha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 67 / 100
Lillestrom 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rosenborg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rosenborg scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Lillestrom
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg

(Home)
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Rosenborg
3 : 0
Kristiansund
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
29 May
Rosenborg
2 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
25 May
KFUM Oslo
2 : 0
Rosenborg
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Lillestrom

(Away)
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking13110233:1333
2Bodo/Glimt14102234:1132
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1362521:1720
6Brann1461728:2219
7Sarpsborg 081353514:1618
8Ham-Kam1353520:2518
9Valerenga1352619:2217
10Rosenborg1343615:1815
11Sandefjord1343613:1715
12Fredrikstad1342715:2314
13KFUM Oslo1333713:2112
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1333711:2112
16Start1414914:337
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)