Sport Picks
Rotlet Molinar vs Constancia
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Socias J.
33'
33'
Ferrer M.
56'
56'
Bonnin M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than Rotlet Molinar.
- Constancia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Constancia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rotlet Molinar | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Constancia
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Rotlet Molinar
3:0
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Constancia
1:1
Oct 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Rotlet Molinar
6:0
Mar 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Rotlet Molinar
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rotlet Molinar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55
Constancia Compare
Top Goalscorer Socias J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.23
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rotlet Molinar 22 / 100
Constancia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rotlet Molinar Constancia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Rotlet Molinar's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Constancia let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.
Rotlet Molinar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rotlet Molinar VS Constancia
1.43 Goals Scored 2.75
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rotlet Molinar
(Home) 10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2 Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2 CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2 CD Son Cladera
28 Mar
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 2 Mallorca B
14 Mar
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 5 Formentera
Page 1 of 3
Constancia
(Away) 20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
