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Rotxapea vs Mutilvera

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Berruete I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Rotxapea and Mutilvera finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rotxapea
20%
Draws
16%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rotxapea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mutilvera come out ahead of Rotxapea on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Rotxapea taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rotxapea Clean Sheet 20%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotxapea Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Rotxapea vs Mutilvera
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Rotxapea
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotxapea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Berruete I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotxapea 76 / 100
Mutilvera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotxapea Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotxapea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutilvera has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Rotxapea's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mutilvera lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mutilvera
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotxapea

(Home)
10 May
Rotxapea
2 : 4
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Rotxapea
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 2
Rotxapea
12 Apr
Rotxapea
1 : 4
Cirbonero
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Mutilvera

(Away)
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)