Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group C

St. Maur Lusitanos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rousset Ste Victoire play St. Maur Lusitanos in the National 2 - Group C. St. Maur Lusitanos are favorites here. Recently, Rousset Ste Victoire averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. St. Maur Lusitanos averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Rousset Ste Victoire won 0, St. Maur Lusitanos won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Rousset Ste Victoire and 2.44 for St. Maur Lusitanos. This points to a St. Maur Lusitanos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

Rousset Ste Victoire

25%

Draws

63%

St. Maur Lusitanos

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Rousset Ste Victoire picked up more points recently compared to St. Maur Lusitanos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Rousset Ste Victoire Clean Sheet 10%

St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rousset Ste Victoire	St. Maur Lusitanos
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	15
Draws	6	9
Losses	22	6
Goals Scored	0.93	1.57
Goals Conceded	2.53	0.8
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 2 - Group C

Rousset Ste Victoire vs St. Maur Lusitanos

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Dec 13, 2025 National 2 - Group C

St. Maur Lusitanos vs Rousset Ste Victoire

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rousset Ste Victoire Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Meftah A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rousset Ste Victoire 13 / 100

St. Maur Lusitanos 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rousset Ste Victoire St. Maur Lusitanos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (2)

Secondary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +200%

25.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rousset Ste Victoire attacking → ← attacking St. Maur Lusitanos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rousset Ste Victoire scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

St. Maur Lusitanos let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rousset Ste Victoire went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

St. Maur Lusitanos lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 54

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cannes	30	17	9	4	53:30	60
2	Nimes	30	18	5	7	46:25	59
3	St. Maur Lusitanos	30	15	10	5	40:24	55
4	Rumilly Vallieres	30	13	8	9	49:36	47
5	Hyeres	30	11	12	7	36:27	45
6	Andrezieux	30	12	9	9	48:33	45
7	Istres	30	11	10	9	42:32	43
8	Creteil	30	12	7	11	36:34	43
9	GOAL FC	30	11	8	11	38:46	40
10	RC Grasse	30	9	9	12	41:42	36
11	Frejus Saint Raphael	30	9	8	13	37:50	35
12	Limonest	30	9	7	14	36:49	34
13	FC Bobigny 93	30	7	11	12	29:31	32
14	Toulon	30	8	10	12	38:47	31
15	Saint Priest	30	7	9	14	35:50	30
16	Rousset Ste Victoire	30	2	6	22	28:76	12