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Royal Excel Mouscron vs Deinze

Belgium Belgium

1B Pro League 2021/2022 Stade Le Canonnier, Mouscron
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Gnohere H.
25'
Prychynenko D.
57'
Sub
Gnohere H. In: Postolachi V.
Out: Gnohere H.

AI Match Summary

Deinze in this 1B Pro League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deinze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Royal Excel Mouscron
15%
Draws
49%
Deinze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deinze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Royal Excel Mouscron have won more games recently than Deinze.
  • Model gives Deinze a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1B Pro League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 20%
Deinze Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royal Excel Mouscron Deinze
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Deinze
1:2
Dec 18, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Deinze vs Royal Excel Mouscron
2:2
Nov 6, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Deinze
2:0
Sep 10, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Deinze vs Royal Excel Mouscron
3:1
Sep 23, 2015 Belgian Cup
Deinze vs Royal Excel Mouscron
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Royal Excel Mouscron Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepoint C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Deinze Compare

Top Goalscorer Mertens L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royal Excel Mouscron 12 / 100
Deinze 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royal Excel Mouscron Deinze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deinze Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Royal Excel Mouscron found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Deinze let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Deinze lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deinze
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Royal Excel Mouscron

(Home)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
Page 1 of 6

Deinze

(Away)
06 Dec
Deinze
0 : 1
RFC Seraing
30 Nov
RFC Liege
3 : 0
Deinze
23 Nov
Deinze
0 : 3
Francs Borains
09 Nov
Lommel SK
1 : 1
Deinze
03 Nov
Deinze
3 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 17 5 6 52:29 56
2 RWDM Brussels 28 14 7 7 41:33 49
3 SK Beveren 28 12 5 11 47:40 41
4 Deinze 28 9 12 7 47:39 39
5 Lierse SK 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
6 Lommel SK 28 9 8 11 39:40 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 31:45 30
8 Virton 28 5 6 17 24:52 21
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