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Royal Excel Mouscron vs Virton

Belgium Belgium

1B Pro League 2021/2022 Stade Le Canonnier, Mouscron
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Match Events

13'
Sub
Guillaume V. In: Bidi A.
Out: Guillaume V.
24'
Taravel J.
41'
Rizzo N.

AI Match Summary

Royal Excel Mouscron in this 1B Pro League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Royal Excel Mouscron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Royal Excel Mouscron
15%
Draws
65%
Virton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virton lately — more wins on the board than Royal Excel Mouscron.
  • Model gives Virton a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1B Pro League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 16%
Virton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royal Excel Mouscron Virton
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Virton vs Royal Excel Mouscron
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Virton
2:1
Oct 29, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Virton vs Royal Excel Mouscron
0:2
Sep 18, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Virton
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Challenger Pro League
Virton vs Royal Excel Mouscron
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Royal Excel Mouscron Compare

Top Goalscorer Duplus F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tainmont C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Doue M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
Virton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royal Excel Mouscron Virton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Royal Excel Mouscron found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Virton has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Royal Excel Mouscron has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Virton
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Royal Excel Mouscron

(Home)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
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Virton

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 17 5 6 52:29 56
2 RWDM Brussels 28 14 7 7 41:33 49
3 SK Beveren 28 12 5 11 47:40 41
4 Deinze 28 9 12 7 47:39 39
5 Lierse SK 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
6 Lommel SK 28 9 8 11 39:40 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 31:45 30
8 Virton 28 5 6 17 24:52 21
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