Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015

Atl. Madrid C

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RSD Alcala play Atl. Madrid C in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, RSD Alcala averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Atl. Madrid C averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, RSD Alcala won 0, Atl. Madrid C won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 10, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for RSD Alcala and 1.69 for Atl. Madrid C. This points to a Atl. Madrid C double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

RSD Alcala

35%

Draws

36%

Atl. Madrid C

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

RSD Alcala picked up more points recently compared to Atl. Madrid C.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 13%

Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	RSD Alcala	Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	14
Draws	7	10
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	1.23	2.43
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

RSD Alcala vs Atl. Madrid C

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Atl. Madrid C vs RSD Alcala

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

3:3

Apr 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

RSD Alcala vs Atl. Madrid C

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Nov 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Atl. Madrid C vs RSD Alcala

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

May 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Atl. Madrid C vs RSD Alcala

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 29 / 100

Atl. Madrid C 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

RSD Alcala Atl. Madrid C

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atl. Madrid C or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RSD Alcala attacking → ← attacking Atl. Madrid C

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Atl. Madrid C let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

RSD Alcala went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Madrid C lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 52

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Majadahonda	38	21	8	9	67:38	71
2	Navalcarnero	38	18	10	10	43:37	64
3	Mexico	38	17	13	8	59:39	64
4	Union Adarve	38	17	12	9	40:31	63
5	Alcorcon B	38	17	12	9	57:41	63
6	San Sebastian Reyes	38	18	8	12	47:32	62
7	DUX Internacional de Madrid	38	16	12	10	48:42	60
8	RSD Alcala	38	13	17	8	41:29	56
9	Real Madrid C	38	16	7	15	50:40	55
10	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	16	6	16	46:45	54
11	Parla	38	14	11	13	47:39	53
12	Atletico Pinto	38	15	7	16	44:42	52
13	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	7	17	53:66	49
14	Puerta Bonita	38	12	11	15	42:44	47
15	CD Mostoles	38	11	13	14	44:46	46
16	San Fernando de Henares	38	9	17	12	35:42	44
17	Siello	38	10	13	15	37:51	43
18	Alcobendas	38	7	15	16	35:49	36
19	AD Colmenar	38	10	5	23	35:65	35
20	AD Torrejon	38	6	2	30	22:74	20