Sport Picks
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
Russia
Russian Cup 2025/2026 Ak Bars Arena, Kazan 
Match Events
15'
15'
Shabanhaxhaj D.
22'
22'
Zhemaletdinov R.
Assist: Ndong O.
36'
36'
Melkadze G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-3, with Rubin Kazan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Akhmat Grozny
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Akhmat Grozny come out ahead of Rubin Kazan on wins alone.
- Model gives Akhmat Grozny a 40% chance of winning this.
- Akhmat Grozny arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Rubin Kazan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 14%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rubin Kazan | Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
1:0
Oct 22, 2025 Russian Cup
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
4:3
Aug 26, 2025 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rubin Kazan Compare
Top Goalscorer Teslenko E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bezrukov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhemaletdinov R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Melkadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rubin Kazan 27 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rubin Kazan Akhmat Grozny
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AKH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rubin Kazan scored in 81% of their last 26 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Rubin Kazan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rubin Kazan VS Akhmat Grozny
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rubin Kazan
(Home) 26 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 3 Krasnodar
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 1 Rubin Kazan
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 3 Rubin Kazan
11 Jul
Rubin Kazan
2 : 0 Krylya Sovetov Samara
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 Rubin Kazan
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26 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 3 Krasnodar
11 Jul
Rubin Kazan
2 : 0 Krylya Sovetov Samara
03 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 2 Orenburg
26 Jun
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Kamaz
17 May
Rubin Kazan
2 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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Akhmat Grozny
(Away) 26 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
16 Jul
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 0 Ajman
14 Jul
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 3 Akhmat Grozny
11 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
14 Jul
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 3 Akhmat Grozny
11 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
17 May
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Baltika | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
