Sport Picks
Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St Petersburg
Russia
Russian Cup 2025/2026 Ak Bars Arena, Kazan 
Match Events
3'
3'
Gondou L.
Assist: Adamov A.
37'
37'
Mikhailov Y.
43'
43'
Erakovic S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Zenit St Petersburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rubin Kazan haven't matched Zenit St Petersburg's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Zenit St Petersburg's way, sitting at 70%.
- Zenit St Petersburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Zenit St Petersburg have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 12%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rubin Kazan | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Aug 12, 2025 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan
3:0
Jul 27, 2025 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St Petersburg
2:2
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rubin Kazan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Zenit St Petersburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Gondou L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rubin Kazan 14 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rubin Kazan Zenit St Petersburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rubin Kazan found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Rubin Kazan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Zenit St Petersburg conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Rubin Kazan VS Zenit St Petersburg
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rubin Kazan
(Home) 26 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 3 Krasnodar
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 1 Rubin Kazan
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 3 Rubin Kazan
11 Jul
Rubin Kazan
2 : 0 Krylya Sovetov Samara
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 Rubin Kazan
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 3 Krasnodar
11 Jul
Rubin Kazan
2 : 0 Krylya Sovetov Samara
03 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 2 Orenburg
26 Jun
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Kamaz
17 May
Rubin Kazan
2 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 3
Zenit St Petersburg
(Away) 25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5 Zenit St Petersburg
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
13 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
12 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 1 Crvena zvezda
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5 Zenit St Petersburg
17 May
FK Rostov
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
02 May
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Apr
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg
19 Apr
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Baltika | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
