Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubin Kazan W vs Spartak Moscow W

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women 2025 Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Rubin Kazan W Logo

Rubin Kazan W

1 - 5
FT
Spartak Moscow W Logo

Spartak Moscow W

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Abramenko A.
56' Event
Yakupova L.
62' Event
Yakupova L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow W in this Russia Cup Women 2025 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rubin Kazan W
6%
Draws
90%
Spartak Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Moscow W lately — more wins on the board than Rubin Kazan W.
  • Model gives Spartak Moscow W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Spartak Moscow W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Moscow W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rubin Kazan W Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Moscow W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Kazan W Spartak Moscow W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Rubin Kazan W
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Rubin Kazan W vs Spartak Moscow W
1:5
Jul 6, 2025 Russia Cup Women
Rubin Kazan W vs Spartak Moscow W
1:5
Jun 22, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Rubin Kazan W
6:0
Oct 12, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Rubin Kazan W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Kazan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abramenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Spartak Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakupova L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morozova N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Kazan W 10 / 100
Spartak Moscow W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Kazan W Spartak Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Rubin Kazan W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Spartak Moscow W let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Rubin Kazan W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Kazan W VS Spartak Moscow W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Kazan W

(Home)
18 Jul
Rubin Kazan W
1 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow W
11 Jul
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
2 : 0
Rubin Kazan W
05 Jul
Rubin Kazan W
1 : 4
Dynamo Moscow W
27 Jun
Rubin Kazan W
2 : 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
20 Jun
Rubin Kazan W
2 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
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Spartak Moscow W

(Away)
25 Jul
Dynamo Moscow W
1 : 2
Spartak Moscow W
18 Jul
Spartak Moscow W
5 : 0
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
11 Jul
CSKA Moscow W
3 : 1
Spartak Moscow W
04 Jul
Pari Nizhny Novgorod W
0 : 9
Spartak Moscow W
27 Jun
Spartak Moscow W
1 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W1
FK Rostov W2
Master Saturn Egorievsk W0
Zenit St Petersburg W3
Akademiya Tambov W0
Lokomotiv Moscow W12
Zvezda 2005 W0
Ryazan W1
FC Chertanovo Moscow W0
Krasnodar W2
Ural W0
CSKA Moscow W8
Spartak Moscow W5
Rubin Kazan W1
Dynamo Moscow W0
Krylya Sovetov Samara W2
Quarter-finals
FK Rostov W0
Zenit St Petersburg W2
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
Ryazan W1
Krasnodar W0
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W0
Semi-finals
Zenit St Petersburg W5
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W2
Final
Zenit St Petersburg W0
CSKA Moscow W1