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Rubin Yalta vs Shahter Taganrog

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rubin Yalta play Shahter Taganrog in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rubin Yalta averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Shahter Taganrog averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In past meetings, Rubin Yalta won 0, Shahter Taganrog won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Rubin Yalta and 1.56 for Shahter Taganrog. This points to a Shahter Taganrog double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Rubin Yalta
24%
Draws
51%
Shahter Taganrog
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Shahter Taganrog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta picked up more points recently compared to Shahter Taganrog.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 15%
Shahter Taganrog Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta Shahter Taganrog
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.33 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Shahter Taganrog
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 26 / 100
Shahter Taganrog 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta Shahter Taganrog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shahter Taganrog or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rubin Yalta attacking → ← attacking Shahter Taganrog

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Shahter Taganrog let in goals in 53% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rubin Yalta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shahter Taganrog lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88