Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Russia U18 vs USA U18

World World

Slovakia Cup
Thu, May 21, 2020
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Russia U18 at 2.12 goals for, 1.44 against; USA U18 at 1.93 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Russia U18 have won 1 to USA U18's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 21, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.60 vs 1.62, favoring Russia U18. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Russia U18
15%
Draws
27%
USA U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U18 haven't matched Russia U18's recent run of results.
  • Russia U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Russia U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Russia U18, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Russia U18 Clean Sheet 14%
USA U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia U18 USA U18
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 15 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.12 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2020 Slovakia Cup
Russia U18 vs USA U18
0:0
Apr 28, 2017 Slovakia Cup
Russia U18 vs USA U18
3:1
Apr 29, 2016 Slovakia Cup
USA U18 vs Russia U18
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia U18 84 / 100
USA U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia U18 USA U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia U18 scored in 84% of their last 25 games.

USA U18 let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Russia U18 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Russia U18 VS USA U18
2.71 Goals Scored 2.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 2.5
57% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia U18

(Home)
15 Nov
Russia U18
1 : 0
Jordan U20
13 Nov
Russia U18
6 : 1
Jordan U20
24 Mar
Uzbekistan U18
1 : 2
Russia U18
21 Mar
Uzbekistan U18
2 : 4
Russia U18
17 Nov
Paraguay U20
2 : 6
Russia U18
Page 1 of 5

USA U18

(Away)
08 Jun
USA U18
2 : 0
Qatar U20
05 Jun
USA U18
0 : 2
Sweden U18
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
28 Mar
USA U18
1 : 2
Morocco U18
26 Mar
Iceland U19
1 : 2
USA U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Russia U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 USA U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Slovakia U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 England U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Czech Republic U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ukraine U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Spain U18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Slovakia Cup (Placement Play Offs)