Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Russia U21 vs Iraq U23

World World

Friendly International Emirhan Sport Center, Antalya
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pomalyuk A.
50' Event
Bober I.
76' Event
Bondarev V.

AI Match Summary

Russia U21 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Russia U21
20%
Draws
11%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Russia U21 have won more games recently than Iraq U23.
  • Win probability leans Russia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia U21 Iraq U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.63 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Russia U21 vs Iraq U23
1:0
Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
Russia U21 vs Iraq U23
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pomalyuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bober I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Kupaishi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia U21 85 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia U21 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Russia U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Iraq U23 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Russia U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Russia U21 VS Iraq U23
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 8
Russia U21
Page 1 of 6

Iraq U23

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 7