Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Russia W vs Azerbaijan W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Svistunova I.
46'
Sub
Jafarova F. In: Aliyeva J.
Out: Jafarova F.
63'
Sub
Mahsimova Z. In: Teymurova F.
Out: Mahsimova Z.

AI Match Summary

Russia W in this Friendly International Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Russia W
22%
Draws
60%
Azerbaijan W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Azerbaijan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Russia W have won more games recently than Azerbaijan W.
  • Azerbaijan W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Russia W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Russia W Clean Sheet 15%
Azerbaijan W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia W Azerbaijan W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2024 Friendly International Women
Russia W vs Azerbaijan W
1:0
Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Russia W vs Azerbaijan W
1:0
Nov 25, 2021 World Cup Women
Azerbaijan W vs Russia W
0:4
Sep 17, 2021 World Cup Women
Russia W vs Azerbaijan W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Svistunova I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Azerbaijan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia W 19 / 100
Azerbaijan W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia W Azerbaijan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Azerbaijan W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Russia W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Russia W VS Azerbaijan W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia W

(Home)
07 Jun
China W
0 : 1
Russia W
03 Jun
China W
1 : 2
Russia W
17 Apr
Russia W
0 : 0
Russia U19 W
14 Apr
Russia W
1 : 0
Russia U19 W
03 Mar
Ghana W
4 : 0
Russia W
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Azerbaijan W

(Away)
09 Jun
North Macedonia W
1 : 3
Azerbaijan W
05 Jun
Azerbaijan W
1 : 2
Hungary W
18 Apr
Azerbaijan W
2 : 0
Andorra W
14 Apr
Andorra W
1 : 3
Azerbaijan W
07 Mar
Hungary W
1 : 0
Azerbaijan W
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