Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ruthin Town vs Denbigh

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Mann T.
65' Event
Sumner N.
66' Event
Vaughan A.

AI Match Summary

Ruthin Town in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ruthin Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ruthin Town
20%
Draws
64%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Denbigh have won more games recently than Ruthin Town.
  • Denbigh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Denbigh
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.23 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh
2:1
Dec 26, 2025 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Ruthin Town
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh
1:1
Dec 26, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Ruthin Town
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruthin Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Mann T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sumner N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaughan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 10 / 100
Denbigh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ruthin Town scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Denbigh has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ruthin Town VS Denbigh
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruthin Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Ruthin Town
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6

Denbigh

(Away)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)