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Ruvu Shooting vs Kagera Sugar

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kiiza H.
Assist: Iddy A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Ruvu Shooting and Kagera Sugar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kagera Sugar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ruvu Shooting
20%
Draws
80%
Kagera Sugar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kagera Sugar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Ruvu Shooting haven't matched Kagera Sugar's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 68%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruvu Shooting Kagera Sugar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Kagera Sugar
0:1
Oct 15, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Ruvu Shooting
2:1
May 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Ruvu Shooting
0:0
Nov 26, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Kagera Sugar
2:1
May 17, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Ruvu Shooting
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Kagera Sugar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiiza H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruvu Shooting 41 / 100
Kagera Sugar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruvu Shooting Kagera Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruvu Shooting Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kagera Sugar conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Kagera Sugar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ruvu Shooting scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kagera Sugar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruvu Shooting

(Home)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
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Kagera Sugar

(Away)
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)