Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RW Essen vs TSV Havelse

Germany Germany

3. Liga Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Telalovic S.
19'
Duah D.
56'
Sub
Richter M. In: Guiddir A.
Out: Richter M.

AI Match Summary

RW Essen in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
RW Essen
30%
Draws
19%
TSV Havelse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RW Essen lately — more wins on the board than TSV Havelse.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on RW Essen taking it.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and RW Essen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Havelse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen TSV Havelse
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 18 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.23 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs TSV Havelse
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs TSV Havelse
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs RW Essen
1:1
May 10, 1991 2. Bundesliga
RW Essen vs TSV Havelse
3:0
Oct 14, 1990 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse vs RW Essen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 85 / 100
TSV Havelse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen TSV Havelse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

TSV Havelse has conceded goals in 92% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

RW Essen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS TSV Havelse
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
29 Aug
Wehen
0 : 0
RW Essen
Page 1 of 6

TSV Havelse

(Away)
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
TSV Havelse
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
05 Sept
Preussen Munster
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
30 Aug
TSV Havelse
3 : 2
Mannheim
15 Aug
RW Essen
1 : 0
TSV Havelse
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
13 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
14 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
15 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
16 Fortuna Koln 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 6 1 1 4 9:12 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)