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Rwanda W vs Ethiopia W

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship Women 2016 game between Rwanda W and Ethiopia W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethiopia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rwanda W
20%
Draws
60%
Ethiopia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Ethiopia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Rwanda W Clean Sheet 10%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda W Ethiopia W
Matches Played 25 34
Wins 3 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.8 2.65
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Ethiopia W
0:3
Sep 14, 2016 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Ethiopia W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda W 10 / 100
Ethiopia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda W Ethiopia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ethiopia W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rwanda W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Ethiopia W has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda W VS Ethiopia W
0.75 Goals Scored 3.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda W

(Home)
25 Feb
Egypt W
2 : 2
Rwanda W
21 Feb
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Egypt W
26 Sept
Ghana W
5 : 0
Rwanda W
20 Sept
Rwanda W
0 : 7
Ghana W
16 Sept
Rwanda W
1 : 1
Burundi W
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Ethiopia W

(Away)
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
21 Feb
Uganda W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
16 Feb
Ethiopia W
7 : 0
Djibouti W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya W 3 3 0 0 19:0 9
2 Uganda W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Burundi W 3 1 0 2 10:6 3
4 Zanzibar W 3 0 0 3 1:30 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Ethiopia W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Rwanda W 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2016 (Play Offs)